Hello gentlemen, it’s been a while. Before I started to write this, I was looking back through the prior blog entries and having a good laugh. It’s fun to see the history of the league, and really made me wish I had kept doing these weekly. But, life’s gotten a lot busier since my freshman year in the dorms with no job, and it pains me to say that these will probably still be few and far between this year again.

Alright, enough of the disclaimers. I think I’ve said enough in the terms and conditions that I won’t be getting formal emails from Ben Samway, J.D. threatening me for breach of contract or whatever lawyer shit he thinks of.

Recap

GAME OF THE WEEK – Alvy [111.54] vs Trey [109.42]
– This game went under the radar before Sunday, but looking back at it, the stakes were so much higher than advertised. Trey and Alvy have both been sitting at the bottom of the leaderboards through 3 weeks and, as we all know, we’ve got a couple women’s basketball tickets waiting for the eventual biggest loser. Now I’m not one to test fate – there’s still a lot of season left – but, if these two stay bottom feeders til the end, this game could be the head-to-head tiebreaker that costs Trey 4 hours of his time.
And what a heartbreaking loss it was. I would have set the line at like Trey (-8) with Keenan Allen and the No 1 kicker through 4 weeks, but thank the Spaghetti Monster no one took me up on that bet. Saquon held the line for Alvy and Trey came up just short in a pivotal week 4 matchup.

GAME OF THE WEAK – Tanner [155.74] vs Jacob [104.02]
– Tanner and I have been scorching hot through the start of the season, and I really thought this would be a good game. I think we all have no clue how Tanner’s team is this good, and he showed this week that his success isn’t reliant on a few players. Kelce and Kupp combined for 17 points after putting up like a billion the past few weeks, and somehow Tanner ends up with the second most points scored. I don’t get it. But, Tanner’s performance is not why I chose this as Game of the Weak. It was mine. Really not quite sure how I got fucked on this hard, but I put up the least points of the week after posting the most last week. Tough look.

BAD BEAT – Kramer [183.60] vs Jace [120.88]
– By now we’ve all seen Jace’s texts: “such bullshit! I played the highest scoring team!” And it is tough luck. But, I’ve got very little sympathy Jace bud. Scroll down a bit on the page – a full recap on your fraudulent activity a few years back. And you might think being in the same situation would gain you some sympathy, but no. You’ve got Trey and Alvy’s teams to hide behind, soaking up all the attention of a bad record. Me? I had Jace fucking Nedbalek. He didn’t even know he was playing fantasy. All the slander fell to me, when you were equally as deserving. So, until Trey and Alvy both pull guns on Berenson, you have no sympathy from me, Jace Brown.

Stat Time

Alright, here’s the stats. I’ve included a new power ranking that I’ve come up with due to all the fraud talk. It uses total points scored, highest and lowest points scored on the season, and the overall wins and losses against the whole league to generate a team’s ranking. In years past, I had used the weekly opponent matchup W/L to determine it, but I think this new ranking system is a better reflection of a teams strength and therefore its fraudulence level. Make of this as you want.

As you can see, Tanner has got a chokehold on the league with an overall record of (38-6). Trey brings up the backend with an overall record of (11-33). And, the comparisons that have been a subject of discussion: Berenson (16-28), Jace (17-27), Zach (18-26). Gives a bit more substance when arguing about the strength of teams.

Fun one to write again fellas. Hopefully no one’s feelings are hurt all too badly. Like I said, still a lot of season left. Also, check out the previous post below if you have time for a laugh.

I’ve been getting swamped with emails from readers from all across the midwest begging and pleading with me to give them a recap, so I figured I’d appease the masses. I do want to offer my apologies for not getting this out Week 1. I’ve been busy with work and school as I’m sure we all are, and newsflash: I’m probably not going to get any less busy. This week is different however. Lucky for me, someone at work came in with COVID so I’m off for a week. Knowing that, this weeks recap will probably be one of the more extensive recaps of the season. Want to just throw that out there as a disclaimer so you’re not expecting this every Tuesday. Anyways, enough with the dumb details. Let’s get to football.

Recap

GAME OF THE WEEK –
Griffin (There are you happy Jacob) [118.24] v Zach (I’m Kind of Retarded) [115.06]
— Being down 7 points with only a defense left to play is every owner’s nightmare, and that was the case for Griffin this week. Definitely gave a reason to watch the MNF game though, and my drunk self was rooting for a sack every possession. Unfortunately, the Saint’s couldn’t get it done and left Griffin three points short of the victory. The week came down to good player management, and Zach planned well, starting all of his highest scoring players to edge out the win.

GAME OF THE WEAK –
Jace (Looks Good in Shorts) [115.48] v Swish (Fresh Prince of Helaire) [83.96]
— In a rude welcoming to the league, Jake finds himself 0-2 with the least amount of points scored through 2 weeks. Going against league low scoring, Jace is showing that he is again a fraud this year and gets handed the win even while scoring the 5th least points this week. I swear to Christ if this happens again this year and it goes unnoticed by anyone else, I’m quitting.

BAD BEAT –
Kramer (2-0) [186.20] v Berenson (0-3) [147.38]
— Kramer has gotten out to a blazing hot start, having almost back-to-back league high scoring weeks. Ben got the short end of the stick, and was handed an almost 40 point loss despite scoring the 3rd highest this week. Let’s see if he can’t turn it around, or if Ben is this year’s Christo.

NOTABLE –
– Samway is 2-0
– I blew 40 FAAB for a combined 2.1 points this week
– Alvin Kamara is a bitch for not diving for the pylon last week. You fuck.

Check The Statistics, Fam

Now time for my favorite part. Spreadsheet is the same from last year in the looks, so should be familiar.

Averages are still a bit inflated due to such a small sample size, so keep that in mind. What isn’t inflated though is the overall Wins/Losses. Kramer is impressing with 20 wins and only 2 losses against the field so far. Also, check out Ben as well. 19-3 is nothing to sneeze at either.

And here are the Week 2 Power Rankings. For those of you who are new or for those who have forgotten, these are calculated using a formula I found online which takes into account win percentage and average weekly scoring, among other things. I think this is a better way of viewing the true strength of a team compared to only having the W/L column.

In the “Power Rating” column, it shows the raw output of the formula. I then take the average of all the power ratings, divide individual owner’s PR, and multiply by 1000 to come up with the adjusted column to the right. This allows for easier comparison between years and makes it a bit easier to read as well. I’ve also color coded the rankings as follows:

Green (>1000): Good team
Yellow (900-1000): Average team
Red (<900): Bad team

This system seemed to hold well last year, so I decided to keep it again for this year.

That’s all I’ve got for you guys. Best of luck to each of you as the season progresses. I’m just glad to not start 0-2 again….

We’ve made it. After weeks of ups and downs, shit talk, and collectively hating Tanner, the season has come to an end. For some, it was a year of great joy, but for many, myself included, it was a year of famine and humiliation. I’ve compiled together the end of year spreadsheets, and made up a list of my own End of Season awards. I hope you enjoy.

Spreadsheets

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I know I haven’t been posting these weekly as of late, but if I had been, you would have been able to see the slow fall of Trey as he moved down from second to now fourth. It also shows that Samway doesn’t look to be too deserving of that 3rd place finish NFL.com gave him. Let’s see if he’s knocked out early and this chart proves to be correct.

Also pretty interesting to look at through the season, and I know I should have posted it here, but you would have seen the Total Season Points Leader jump around a lot from Kramer to Tanner before finally landing on Berenson these past few weeks.
You also would have saw the Overall Losses column slowly creep towards Ned as he continued to run out lineups that put up less than 75 points a game…

Being the end of the season, I went ahead and updated the Total Standings spreadsheet. This is a combination of the two seasons and the whole Legend for each of the categories can be found on the actual spreadsheet links if you want to see.
Berenson has got the highest win % at 0.741 and clinched his second winning season in a row. Samway’s 40.90 points scored last year just barely edges out Ned’s 42.76 point stinker this year.
I kinda threw this together quickly, so there’s still some errors that I can see while I’m typing this, but nevertheless, still most is accurate.

End of Season Awards

Being the first year I’ve done this, I really didn’t know what types of awards to give out. I came up with 4 major awards that I think would cover most of the things people are passionate about. If I missed some, feel free to drop your own nominees in the group chat.

MVP : Berenson (The Grand Wizard)
– I originally was scared that there would be no clear favorite for MVP this year, as in the last few weeks there were a lot of teams vying for the top position. But, luckily it all panned out.
I graded this award based on the Spreadsheets I made, specifically the:
Power Ranking, Total Points Scored, Highest Score, and Overall Wins.
If you take a look at the spreadsheet, Berenson is the leader in all of those categories. Though Tanner is very close in a few of them, having won only 90 games overall in comparison to Berenson’s 98 cost him and lead to me giving the award to Benny. Congrats to you Berenson.. I wish I knew how you did it.

Comeback Kid: Ben (YeahIAm)
– Everyone loves a comeback story, but I don’t know how many people like it when it’s about Samway. All in jest, because Ben had a huge turnaround this year, going from dead last with a record of 1-13 to the 3rd playoff seed and a 7-6 record. I guess that tough punishment last year really deterred him from tanking again. But seriously, good to see some parity in the league; good job Samway.

Biggest Loser: Ned (Doinks Daily Pt 2)
– Now I know your first thought is probably “no way!! thats bullshit!!! Jacob is clearly the worst team!!! He’s just saying Ned is because he’s writing it!!” Stop it. I know I am ass. But if I am ass, then Jace is equivalent to the turd that Haffner pushed out at the zoo. The numbers don’t lie, just look at the spreadsheet. League lows in Average Points, Lowest Weekly Points, Tied for last in Win totals, lowest Overall Win totals? And lets not start on the actual weekly scores. Jace had 5 games in which he scored less than 75 points, 2 of which he scored less than 45 points?! Pitiful.

Biggest Fraud: Jace (Looks Good in Shorts)
– I saved the best, and probably the longest for last. This is something that means a lot to me personally, and something that I have been harping on for a while now: Jace Brown is a fraud when it comes to Fantasy Football.
This year, a majority of the flak has landed on me (see below)

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And these were well deserved, I’m not gonna lie. BUT, someone else deserved them too. Let’s take a little looksy here…

TOTAL POINTS SCORED:
Jacob: 1407.44
Jace: 1410.02
AVERAGE POINTS SCORED:
Jacob: 108.26
Jace: 108.46
OVERALL W/L:
Jacob: 54/89
Jace: 61/82
TOTAL POINTS AGAINST:
Jacob: 1726.86
Jace: 1522.10
ENDING RECORD:
Jacob: 3/10
Jace: 5/8

Just goes to show how fickle of a game fantasy football is and how much luck can play into it. Congrats on hiding under the radar Jace, you fraudster.

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Well boys, that wraps it up for this one. Hell, maybe even for this season. I don’t know if I will be able to do much more than a few spreadsheets and some final words of congratulations for the eventual winner. I hope that this was a fun way to keep people more active and keep the competitiveness alive for a bit longer, even if it wasn’t every week. Thanks for your support and for a great season everyone. Best of luck to all who were lucky enough to make the playoffs.

Hello again. No written recap, but I’ve added some stats that I think you’ll like.

Starting off, I’ve added a “Overall” column at the end of the Season Scores. This is the record that each team would have if they played every team each week. In my opinion, this, along with total points, is the best way to determine the true number one team as it removes pretty much all luck out of the equation.

Nothing new to see in the Power Rankings.

The next thing is probably the most interesting thing that I have made in a while. I made a playoff predictor (based off the website https://spreadsheetsolving.com/fantasy_football_monte_carlo/) that simulates games by generating random scores based on the average points scored each week by the respective team. You can see an example of what it looks like below.

I did this for the last three weeks of the season, tallied the predicted wins and losses of each team, and then determined who would make the playoffs based on that simulation. And I did it again. And again. And again.
I actually did this 50 times, then again tallied how many times each team made the playoffs, and divided by the total number of simulations that I did.
The result is below:

You can see that there are a large number of teams that either are 100% locks to be in the playoffs or are definitely out of the playoffs.

Remember: this is all just simulation, and not even a very good one at that. If we wanted this to be even more accurate, it would require us to run it many more times. I just don’t have the coding knowledge necessary to do this, nor do I want to waste my time copying and pasting the results over and over again while slowly developing carpal tunnel syndrome in order to make this a perfect model.

I also realized after this was finished that I didn’t account for the Head-to-Head tiebreakers that we have in place. In the model, position is determined by record first, and then total points as second tiebreaker. I don’t know how much of a difference it would make honestly, but know that even if your percentage is zero, there is a chance I fucked up.
That is, unless you are me. No way I am making the playoffs, but at least Jace’s dumbass is keeping me from being dead last.

Thanks for reading boys. Best of luck to all of you in the playoff hunt.

If you want to see how I did the playoff simulation, the link is here

I’m so annoyed right now. Literally spent 3 hours today trying to make improvements to the spreadsheets, only to realize that everything I just did wasn’t relevant to fantasy at all. Standard deviation of scores tells you nothing important, or so I think.
I write this not to come across as like some martyr or something, slaving myself out to produce content (I can choose how I want to waste my free time.. plus I enjoy this lol), but to explain why there is no written recap this week. I just don’t have the energy to make one, so spreadsheets will have to do.

Spreadsheets

There were supposed to be like 2 new columns in here. Oopsie.

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I spent a lot of time trying to figure out a way to make tiers to determine who is good, average, and bad. I thought I had a genius idea using standard deviation, and it worked pretty well with this years data, but when I tried to use it with last years, it did not work how I expected. Samway’s abysmal 550 power rating from last year threw the whole thing off and ruined my night. So I decided to just keep it simple and have 1000 +- 100 be the official ranking. It seems to be pretty good so far, but it is a work in progress and may be altered or trashed completely if it doesn’t provide accurate ratings in the future. Seems accurate at the moment though.

Remember that a completely average team would have an adjusted ranking of exactly 1000, so there is variations in the tiers.

This means:
– any team with an adjusted power rating over 1100 is considered a “good” team
– any team with an adjusted power rating under 900 is considered a “bad” team
– any team with an adjusted power rating between 900 and 1100 is an “average” team

Have a good night boys.

**Use the dropdown menu above to find links to spreadsheets**

Here’s a full recap this week, but please do me a favor and read the spreadsheet stuff too. I’m trying to give the people what they want, and I know stats aren’t the most interesting, but there’s some stuff this week that I think will make it more enjoyable to see these stats. Thanks boys.

Game of the Week

[Redacted] (Redacted) |145.88| vs Kramer (Underrated) |131.18|
— Most definitely one of the biggest games of the season, and I’m not being sarcastic. Two 4-3 teams butting heads, fighting for a solid spot in the playoffs — couldn’t get much better than this. They both got out to a hot start, but in the end [redacted] was too much for Kramer to handle.
You would have to think that if Kramer didn’t spend so much time and energy on his knees in order to get that Saquon trade, he might have had enough stamina to pull out the win. Though Kramer has taken some heat lately for that seemingly unfair trade, I admire him for doing it. We all know the age-old saying: “I’m not gay, but Saquon is Saquon.” Props to him for living that out.

Game of the Weak

Trey (Kupp My Balls) |126.28 vs Griffin (Saquon My Nuts) |99.46|
— This game was to be expected for the most part. With the blockbuster trade for Saquon leaving Griffin severely undermanned in the RB department (please change your name Griff), it wasn’t a shocker to see him take the L. What was surprising though was to see him manage almost 100 points this week. Good on you for that Mr. Vargas.
Trey on the other hand, took advantage of the weak matchup and came out with another easy win, putting him at both the top of the standings and the Power Rankings. Dude has had a cakewalk of a schedule though, landing him a spot on the Phony Watch.

Notable

— Speaking of the Phony Watch, Jace has shut me up for just a little bit after scoring the 3rd most points this week. Our stats still don’t differ by much though Mr. Brown… you are still the prime suspect of being most phony.
— I still can’t catch a break

Spreadsheets

As you can see, there is a new column on the power rankings. This “adjusted” column divides the team’s Power Rating by the average of the league’s combined power ranking and then multiplies it by 1000. This will make it easier to compare teams between years as it helps account for overall scoring differences year to year.

Important takeaways from this column:
– a team with an adjusted power rating of above 1000 is an above average team
– a team with an adjusted power rating of 1000 is an exactly average team
– a team with an adjusted power rating of below 1000 is a below average team

This gives me the opportunity to compare this week with Week 8 one year ago:

Kinda cool to see how it all changed. It also shows that, though with very limited data, it seems to be a down year for scoring compared to last year.

Thanks for reading to the end if you did, I do appreciate it.
If you didn’t: fuck you.

See you all next week.

No recap, just pictures. Three tests this week.

**Use the dropdown menu above to find links to spreadsheets**

THE CHAMP IS HERE!!! LADIES AND GENTLEMEN, TAKE A LOOK AT THE NEWEST MEMBER OF THE 1 WIN CLUB.

Wow. What an honor… please hold your applause. I know you all have so many questions to ask about my brilliance, but let’s save those until the end. Thank you all for tagging along with me through my 6 week journey.

Many people look at my story and see the similarities between me and Jesus Christ himself. He went without food and water in the desert for 40 day and 40 nights, I went without a fantasy football win for 42 days and nights (which makes me tougher tbh). Jesus was tempted by Satan in the desert, trying to get him to use his divine powers to save himself. I was tempted by Satan to drop all my players and leave the league. Could I be the second coming of Christ? I don’t know, maybe. I am playing someone who’s name is “The Chosen One” this week, so there’s some food for thought.

Game of the Week

Jacob (Chicken Gordon Bleu) |90.32| vs Griffin (Saquon My Nuts) |89.90| — A shootout for the ages, this had to be one of the best games of the fantasy season. Jacob, lead behind a historic 4.62 point performance by Gardner Minshew was able to edge out a Peyton Barber 2.80 point attack by Griffin. Arguably two of the best teams in the league, it will be fun to see these two butt heads come playoff time.

Game of the Weak

Kramer (Underrated) |159.40| vs Berenson (The Grand Wizard) |152.80| — Just as expected, two of the lowest scoring teams played an absolutely pitiful game this week. Low scorers, bad managers, racist team names? This is a disgrace to the CFFL, and should be reported to the commissioner.

Spreadsheets

Things to note this week:

1. Trey now leads in easiest Strength of Schedule
2. Berenson now has highest Average Points scored and Total Points scored
3. Jacob has one win 🥰

**Use the dropdown menu above to find links to spreadsheets**

Too mad to type. Only pictures.

**Use the dropdown menu above to find links to spreadsheets**

Honestly, what a great week of fantasy football. Two 3-0 teams paired up against each other. Two 0-3 teams paired up against each other. A game that came down literally to 5 minutes left on a Monday night. Some great matchups that proved to be good games.

It’s been 4 weeks now which means that I have just enough data to make some comparisons between everyone, expose some people, and give others bragging rights. I’ll put some of my comments with the pictures, but interpret the numbers how you want to.

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The blocks highlighted in gold indicate the league leaders in that category. I think the strength of schedule block is something that is pretty interesting (especially for some people who may not have won a game yet), so make sure you give that one a look.

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That leads us to the Power Rankings. As you can see, wins don’t mean everything as Trey hopped over Berenson, even with a 3-1 record. Another surprise to me was Kramer’s positioning, but I think that was due to his big week this week, giving him the second most points in the league and somehow still the second worst record.

The march to an 0-14 season carries on my friends. At least I know I won’t have to do any punishment at the end of the season 🤷